Sevilla had a great run lately and overtook Valencia for the 4th place but Los Che won yesterday vs. Almeria so now Sevilla is back to fifth .. but they are only 2 points behind and have 2 less games, so a win today would be huge to put them again in pole position for Champions League. Sevilla played some great football on the defensive end in the last few weeks and they allowed exactly one goal in the last 7 matches … and that was in the last second vs. Granada in the Cup. Hosts are showing great capabilities in playing possession game and denying opportunities for opponents … they are on the back of a 4-0 win over Granada and enter this game with great confidence. Cristoforo, Pareja and Mbia are out … Tremoulinas and Trochowski are questionable.
Malaga is having a great season and is in direct competition with Sevilla for an european spot … 7th place for the visitors but they only have 1 draw in the last 2 games and suffered a 3-2 defeat at Levante midweek … very surprising especially for the fact that Malaga allowed 3 goals against a poor offensive team like Levante, but it was a Cup game and Malaga still qualified so that explains it. Visitors are one of the most defensive sides in Primera with a 22-28 goal difference. Chen, Ferreira and Camacho are unavailable … Sanchez, Weligton and Tissone are questionable.
Malaga is an established defensive team and will come here with the main objective of not conceding, maybe scoring on a counter … they will be even more focused defensively after allowing 3 goals from Levante. Sevilla is playing excellent possession football, they do not allow chances to opponents but are not yet scoring at will themselves. Add to this the fact that this is a huge match with a lot of stake and under 2,5 goals looks like the way to go. Not too many risks will be taken and the DNA of these two teams clearly suggests an under on the under/over market. My tip will be under 2,5 goals. A close Sevilla win is also on the cards in my opinion. Correct score prediction: FC Sevilla – Malaga 1-0.
Pick: under 2,5
Odds: 1.95
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